Fund with

    • Forecast

      Forecast

    • Markets

      Markets

    • Score

      Score

    • Pools

      Pools

    • Stake

      Stake

    Don't pick a side.
    Pick the number.

    Live poolsAAPLNVDATSLABTCETHSOLSettles inUSDCSolana

    ORB is a precision market on Solana: forecast the exact price, stake USDC, get paid by how close you land.

    // INTRO

    illustrative image of year

    2026

    SolanaSolanamainnet
    Closer, not right

    Binary markets are a coin flip. You call a direction, the size is ignored, and being almost right pays the same as being wrong: nothing.Coin flipSize ignoredAlmost = nothing

    Precision changes that. Every forecast is scored by distance to the print, then weighted by timing and conviction.AccuracyTiming ×1.5Conviction

    Name the
    Stake it in
    Get paid
    On

    exact price,
    USDCUSDC,
    by distance
    SolanaSolana.

    Name the
    exact price,
    stake USDCUSDC

    get paid
    by distance on
    SolanaSolana.

    The ORB protocol

    ORB is open, on-chain and settled in USDC: public scoring rules, live price feeds and payouts anyone can verify.

    Public rulesLive feedsVerifiable payouts

    How It Works

    CLOSE

    CLOSE

    ORB runs on five steps, one wallet and a single unit of account

    Post the number you actually believe

    Type an exact price, stake USDC, and lock your forecast in.

    One number, not a side.

    Forget the coin flip. Enter the exact price you expect at the close, stake USDC behind it, and let distance do the rest.

    Feature details
    • Exact-price entries, never up or down.
    • Minimum 0.50 USDC on crypto pools.
    • Minimum 1 USDC on stocks.
    • Edit your number until the pool closes.
    • Every entry is public and on-chain.

    Timing and conviction multipliers.

    Enter early and your score multiplies by up to 1.5×. Every edit after the first shaves 0.05 off conviction, with a floor of 0.75×.

    Feature details
    • Early entries earn up to 1.5×.
    • Each edit costs 0.05 conviction.
    • Conviction never drops below 0.75×.

    Every market that prints a number

    Tokenized stocks, crypto and chain memes.

    Tokenized stocks, priced live.

    AAPL, NVDA, TSLA, GOOGL, MSFT, SPY and GLD trade on Solana as tokenized equities (xStocks: AAPLx, NVDAx, TSLAx, GOOGLx, MSFTx, SPYx, GLDx). Their pools close daily at midnight UTC, on the printed price.

    Feature details
    • Seven tokenized equities.
    • Daily close at midnight UTC.
    • Live, public price feeds.
    • Settles on the price the market actually printed.

    Scored by distance, not by direction

    Accuracy × timing × conviction, published in full.

    Accuracy is the whole score.

    Your score starts from how far your number lands from the print. Being 1% off is worth exactly 0.5.

    Feature details
    • Distance to the printed price.
    • 1% off scores 0.5; an exact call scores 1.
    • One smooth curve, no cliff, the same for every entry in the pool.

    Pick a pool, size the pot

    One asset, one closing time, one pot of USDC split by score.

    One pool, one number.

    A pool is a single asset and a single close. Everyone posts a number, and every stake goes into the same USDC pot.

    Feature details
    • One asset, one closing time.
    • Stocks close daily, crypto and memes hourly.
    • The pot is plain USDC.
    • Rake is 3%, taken off the top.

    Fund with USDC or SOL, stake in USDC

    Bring USDC direct, or SOL swapped to USDC in your wallet, before your stake ever reaches a pool.

    Stake USDC. Get paid USDC.

    Every pool takes USDC, Circle's dollar, at six decimals. Stakes go into the pool treasury and payouts come straight back to your wallet.

    Feature details
    • USDC in, USDC out, six decimals.
    • Minimum 0.50 USDC on crypto, 1 USDC on stocks.
    • Your stake sits in the pool treasury only while the pool is open.
    double rectangle
    markets

    Every market settles in USDC on Solana

    markets

    rails

    USDCStaked in USDCSolanaSettled on SolanaSOLFunded with USDC or SOL
    zero-id rectangle
    wallet

    Your wallet is your account

    Sign in with the wallet you already own: Phantom, Solflare or Backpack. No email, no password, nothing to create.

    No custody and no KYC forms. Funds settle on-chain, under your own address.

    Fund with USDCUSDC direct, or SOLSOL swapped to USDC in your wallet. Every payout lands back at the same address on SolanaSolana.

    Discover now

    USDC

    USDC

    $1.00

    (+0.0%)
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