Fund with

    • Forecast

      Forecast

    • Markets

      Markets

    • Score

      Score

    • Pools

      Pools

    • Stake

      Stake

    Don't pick a side.
    Pick the number.

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    ORB is a precision market on Robinhood Chain: forecast the exact price, stake USDG, get paid by how close you land.

    // INTRO

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    2026

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    Closer, not right

    Binary markets are a coin flip. You call a direction, the size is ignored, and being almost right pays the same as being wrong: nothing.

    Precision changes that. Every forecast is scored by distance to the print, then weighted by timing and conviction. Nobody is wrong, some are just further away.

    Don't pick
    Pick the
    stake it
    by

    a side.
    number,
    and get paid
    distance.

    Don't pick
    a side. Pick
    the number,

    stake it and get paid
    by
    distance.

    The ORB protocol

    ORB is open, on-chain and settled in USDG: public scoring rules, live price feeds and payouts anyone can verify.

    How It Works

    CLOSE

    CLOSE

    ORB runs on five steps, one wallet and a single unit of account

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    Post the number you actually believe

    Type an exact price, stake USDG, and lock your forecast in.

    One number, not a side.

    Forget the coin flip. Enter the exact price you expect at the close, stake USDG behind it, and let distance do the rest.

    Feature details
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    • Exact-price entries, never up or down.
    • Minimum 0.50 USDG on crypto pools.
    • Minimum 1 USDG on stocks.
    • Edit your number until the pool closes.
    • Every entry is public and on-chain.

    Timing and conviction multipliers.

    Enter early and your score multiplies by up to 1.5×. Every edit after the first shaves 0.05 off conviction, with a floor of 0.75×.

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    • Early entries earn up to 1.5×.
    • Each edit costs 0.05 conviction.
    • Conviction never drops below 0.75×.
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    Every market that prints a number

    Tokenized stocks, crypto and chain memes.

    Tokenized stocks, priced live.

    AAPL, NVDA, TSLA, GOOGL, MSFT, SPY and GLD trade on Robinhood Chain as tokenized equities. Their pools close daily at midnight UTC, on the printed price.

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    • Seven tokenized equities.
    • Daily close at midnight UTC.
    • Live, public price feeds.
    • Settles on the price the market actually printed.
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    Scored by distance, not by direction

    Accuracy × timing × conviction, published in full.

    Accuracy is the whole score.

    Your score starts from how far your number lands from the print. Being 1% off is worth exactly 0.5.

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    • Distance to the printed price.
    • 1% off scores 0.5; an exact call scores 1.
    • One smooth curve, no cliff, the same for every entry in the pool.
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    Pick a pool, size the pot

    One asset, one closing time, one pot of USDG split by score.

    One pool, one number.

    A pool is a single asset and a single close. Everyone posts a number, and every stake goes into the same USDG pot.

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    • One asset, one closing time.
    • Stocks close daily, crypto and memes hourly.
    • The pot is plain USDG.
    • Rake is 3%, taken off the top.
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    Fund with anything, stake in USDG

    Bring ETH, WETH, USDe or cbBTC and it is swapped to USDG before your stake ever reaches a pool.

    Stake USDG. Get paid USDG.

    Every pool takes USDG, the Global Dollar, at six decimals. Stakes go into the pool treasury and payouts come straight back to your wallet.

    Feature details
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    • USDG in, USDG out, six decimals.
    • Minimum 0.50 USDG on crypto, 1 USDG on stocks.
    • Your stake sits in the pool treasury only while the pool is open.
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    markets

    Every market settles in USDG on Robinhood Chain

    markets

    rails

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    wallet

    Your wallet is your account

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    Sign in with the wallet you already own. No email, no password, nothing to create.

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    No custody and no KYC forms. Funds settle on-chain, under your own address.

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    Fund with USDG, ETH, WETH, USDe or cbBTC. Anything that is not USDG is auto-swapped on the way in, and every payout lands back at the same address, verifiable on the explorer.

    Discover now

    USDG

    $1.00

    (+0.0%)
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